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  • Writer's pictureJai Elhance

T20 World Cup Qualification Scenarios


T20 World Cup Semis Qualification Scenarios:

𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝟏: 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐬 / 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐝


𝐄𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝: 𝟒/𝟒 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐍𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐥𝐲 𝐂𝐞𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧

After winning their first 4 games, England have put themselves in a great position. Their remaining match is against South Africa. A win in that game guarantees them qualification at the number 1 spot.


The only way for England to be knocked out is if South Africa and Australia win all their games by massive margins to then knock England out on NRR.


𝐒𝐨𝐮𝐭𝐡 𝐀𝐟𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚: 𝟑/𝟒 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝟓𝟎-𝟓𝟎

Though South Africa are at 2nd on the points table with a game left, their qualification will be a bit tough. Their last opposition is England. A win would almost cement their spot into the semis. But a loss would mean that they could be eliminated. If Australia win both their remaining games, which are against Bangladesh and the West Indies, then they would have 4 wins in 5 games. So for South Africa to qualify, they need a win in their game against England, or need Australia to lose at least 1 game.


𝐀𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐚: 𝟐/𝟑 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝟓𝟎-𝟓𝟎

Australia will probabaly qualify for the playoffs. They need 2 wins in their remaining 2 games which are against Bangladesh and West Indies. They also need South Africa to lose their final game against England.


𝐒𝐫𝐢 𝐋𝐚𝐧𝐤𝐚: 𝟏/𝟒 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐄𝐥𝐢𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝

Even if Sri Lanka get a win in their final game, they would end at 4 points. Both South Africa and England would still have more points than them.


𝐖𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐞𝐬: 𝟏/𝟑 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐔𝐧𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐥𝐲

West Indies would need wins in both their remaining games. They would also need Australia to lose at least 1 game and South Africa to lose their remaining game. If this happens, then there is an outer chance that the West Indies can qualify on NRR.


𝐁𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐬𝐡: 𝟎/𝟒 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐄𝐥𝐢𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝

After losing their first 4 games, Bangladesh have no chance of qualifying. A win in their final game would put them at 2 points, which is definitely not enough.


𝐆𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝟐: 𝐖𝐢𝐧𝐬 / 𝐏𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐝


𝐏𝐚𝐤𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧: 𝟒/𝟒 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐞𝐝

Pakistan have qualified for the playoffs with wins in their first 4 games. A win in their final game against Scotland would guarantee them thag number 1 spot.


𝐀𝐟𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧: 𝟐/𝟑 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝟓𝟎-𝟓𝟎

Afghanistan have done well till now. But they’ll be up against India and New Zealand for their final 2 encounters. Wins in both the games guarantees them qualification. While a win against New Zealand, will probably see them qualify on NRR.


𝐍𝐞𝐰 𝐙𝐞𝐚𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝: 𝟏/𝟐 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞

If New Zealand win all 3 of their remaining games, they could qualify. Their games are against Scotland, Namibia, and Afghanistan.


𝐍𝐚𝐦𝐢𝐛𝐢𝐚: 𝟏/𝟑 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐔𝐧𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐥𝐲

Namibia needs to win all their remaining games and also need Afghanistan to lose to at least 1. This would give them an outer chance to qualify on NRR.


𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐚: 𝟎/𝟐 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐔𝐧𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐥𝐲

India needs to win all 3 of their remaining games. They also need Afghanistan to beat New Zealand. If this happens, India could possibly qualify on NRR, but they’d need some massive wins for that to happen.


𝐒𝐜𝐨𝐭𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐝: 𝟎/𝟐 𝐐𝐮𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐬: 𝐔𝐧𝐥𝐢𝐤𝐞𝐥𝐲

Scotland needs to win all 3 of their games which are against India, New Zealand, and Pakistan. They also need Afghanistan to lose one game and New Zealand to lose 2. This could mean them qualifying on NRR.

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